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Product Category: Projects
Product Code: 00001149
No of Pages: 59
No of Chapters: 5
File Format: Microsoft Word
Price :
$20
This study examined the impact of
interest rate on savings in Nigeria within the sampled period of 1981-2013. The
data for this research work was obtained from the CBN Statistical Bulletin
(1981 – 2013) and analyzed using ordinary least square (OLS) analysis. Domestic
Savings (SAV), was
regressed against Interest Rate (INT), Money supply (MS) and Income (Y). The result revealed that there is a
positive relationship between interest rate on deposit and savings which is in
conformity with economic expectation and theory as was propounded by Keynes. Cointegration test revealed
that the entire variables have long run relationship with domestic saving in
Nigeria within the sample period with at least one co-integrating equation. The
unit root test indicates that none of the variable was significant at level but
the entire variables were stationary at first differencing. The VECM result
indicates that the dependent variable has the capacity to adjust to short-term
fluctuation from long term equilibrium.
Based on this finding the research recommends among others; Monetary
authorities should make policies which would help to boost the saving culture
of the people. This could be done by increasing the deposit rate which would
lure the people to deposit their money in banks thereby increasing the supply
of loanable funds. This would lead to a fall in lending rate and eventually
rise in investment.
1.7 Scope
and limitations of the Study
3.3.3 Error Correction Mechanisms (ECM)
PRESENTATION
AND ANALYSIS OF RESULTS
4.1.3 Vector Error Correction Mechanism (VECM)
4.2 Testing of
Research Hypotheses
SUMMARY,
CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATIONS
Table1: Augmented Dickey Fuller Unit Root Test
at level
Table 4: Johansen co-integration test for the
series; SAV, MS, INT and GDP
Table 5: Vector Error Correction Mechanism (VECM)
Table 6: Granger Causality Test
CHAPTER ONE
INTRODUCTION
Financial system has long been recognized
to play an important role in economic development. The benefit derivable from a
healthy and developed financial system relates to savings mobilization and
efficient financial intermediation roles. In terms of financial intermediation
between savers (lenders) and borrowers such benefits include; spreading risk, reduction
of transaction and search costs. Financial institutions create liquidity in the
economy by borrowing short-term and lending long-term. These financial
intermediaries bring the benefit of asset diversification to the economy. They
mobilize savings from atomized individuals for investment thereby solving the
problem of indivisibility in financial transactions. Consequently, mobilized
savings are invested in the most productive ventures irrespective of the
source. The extent to which this could be done depends on the level of
development in the financial sector as well as the savings habit of the
populace. Based on these expectations,
Mckinnon and Shaw (1973 cited in
Onwumere, et al, 2012), attributed financial repression as the cause of the
unsatisfactory growth performance of developing countries. They argued further
that financial repression arises mostly when a country imposes ceilings on
nominal deposit and lending interest rate at a low level relative to
inflation. Savings represent that part
or portion of disposable income not spent on current consumption. It comprises
of time deposits in bank and the various forms of equities. According to the
Keynesian economics, savings is the amount left over when the cost of a
person’s consumer expenditure is subtracted from the amount of disposable
income that he or she earns in a given period of time.
Institution in the financial sector
like the deposit money banks (DMBs) or commercial banks mobilize savings
deposit on which they pay certain interest. Interest rate is an important
economic price, this is because of its diverse role in the economy, whether
seen from the point of view of cost of capital or from the perspective of
opportunity cost of funds, it has a fundamental implication for the economy.
Interest rate on savings account are
part of what makes funds available in the bank rather than at home more
reasonable. If one saves money in the bank account, it normally earns some form
of benefits depending on how long the money is saved in the bank. Those direct
benefits or returns which the money earns while it was in the bank account are
referred to as interest rate. Interest
rate is regarded as the payment for use of capital or money. Keynes regarded
interest rate as a purely monetary phenomenon, payment for the use of money. It
is the reward for parting with the liquidity of money. Thus it is a premium
which is offered to wealth holders to induce them to part with their cash. When
people abstain from consumption they save and interest rate becomes the reward
for saving. Conceptually, interest rate can be seen as the reward for saving.
Interest rate increase savings when
cost of capital and availability of credit are influenced, if interest rate is
administratively determined it is known as fixed interest rate and floating if
determined by market forces. To effectively mobilize savings in an economy, the
deposit rate (interest rate) must be relatively high and inflation rate
stabilized to ensure a high positive real interest rate which motivates
investors to save from their disposable income. In
Since
the oil shock in
The interest rate reform policy
under financial sector liberalization was needed to remedy the problems caused
by the financial repressive policies. Since the introduction of financial
liberalization concept in the 1970s, many countries such as Angola, Burundi,
Congo, Cote d’lvoire, Gambia, Chana, Kenya, Madagascar, Malawi, Mozambique,
Nigeria, Rwanda, Tanzania, Zambia, Zimbabwe, India, China, Turkey, etc. have
made attempts at liberalizing their
financial sectors by deregulating interest rates, eliminating or
reducing credit controls, allowing free entry into the banking sectors, giving
autonomy to commercial banks, permitting private ownership of banks and
liberalizing international capital flows. Odhiambo (2009) posits that of these
six dimensions of financial liberalization, interest rate liberalization seems
to have been the main centre of attention. In
However,
in a dramatic policy reversal, the government in January, 1994 out-rightly
introduced some measures of regulation into interest rate management. It was
claimed that there were ‘wide variations and unnecessarily high interest rates’
under the complete deregulation of interest rates (CBN, 2010). Banks were
allowed to determine deposit and lending rate according to market forces
through negotiations with their customers (Soludo, 2008; Nwachukwu &
Odigie, 2009). Interest rate rose following the deregulation of the financial
sector (Soludo, 2008). What is unclear however is whether there is a strong
response in savings as a result of the rising interest rate? These among others
spur the interest of the researcher in the relationship that exists between
interest rate & saving in
Over
two decades ago, Nigerian economy witnessed the introduction of Structural
Adjustment Program (SAP) which shifted emphasis from public sector to private
sector. The goal was to, among other things, encourage private domestic
savings, private domestic investment and capital formation in order to enhance
economic growth and development, but unfortunately, the level of funds mobilization
by banks through the use of interest rate is quite low or has not been very
effective due to a number of reasons; according to Nnanna, et al (2004) is the
attitude of banks towards small savers.
The major function of interest rate in
v To what extent does interest rate impacted on
savings in
v Is there any causal relationship between interest
rate and savings in
v To what extent does long-run relationship exist
between interest rate and savings in
The broad objective of the study is
to empirically investigate the relationship between interest rate and savings
in
v evaluate the impact of interest rate on savings
in
v determine the causal relationship between
interest rate and savings in
v examine the long-run relationship between
interest rate and savings in
i.
Ho:
Interest rate has no significant impact on savings in
ii.
Ho:
Interest rate has no causal relationship with savings in
iii.
Ho:
Interest rate has no long-run relationship with savings in
In analysing the relationship
existing between interest rate and savings, it will enhance our knowledge in
understanding the level at which interest rate affect savings in
The study shall concern itself with
the investigation of the relationship between interest rate and savings in
In the course of
carrying out this study, the researcher encountered some challenges.
1.
Finance: this
is the major obstacle faced by researchers, access to good and qualitative
materials are readily available to the researcher but at an exorbitant cost.
2.
Internet
access: due to network fluctuation & failure, researcher finds it so
difficult to get access to more materials.
3.
Availability
of data: most of the information used is obtained basically from the Central
Bank of Nigeria (CBN) and most time it is difficult to get adequate information
from the financial institutions.
In spite of the above mentioned constraint, the researcher put in
adequate effort to ensure that the result will be relevant and also serves the
intended purpose.
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